KXBTCD: Kalshi Bitcoin price Above/below markets in numbers
In the public Becker Kalshi dataset, the KXBTCD series (“Bitcoin price Above/below”, Kalshi category Crypto) had 391,205 markets in 5,448 events created Oct 23, 2024 to Nov 23, 2025, with 465,236,379 contracts traded; 50.5% of 389,200 settled markets resolved YES.
Historical snapshot · source: Becker Kalshi dataset and Kalshi public API · page updated · these numbers as JSON
Hourly Bitcoin above/below markets. Each event is a ladder of strike levels asking whether the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin reference price will be above each level at a set time, so one event lists many markets and most strikes see little or no trading.
Key numbers
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Markets | 391,205 |
| Events | 5,448 |
| Contracts traded | 465,236,379 |
| Markets never traded | 336,051 (85.9%) |
| Settled markets (yes or no) | 389,200 |
| Resolved YES | 196,405 (50.5% of settled) |
| Resolved NO | 192,795 (49.5% of settled) |
| First market created | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Last market created | Nov 23, 2025 |
Kalshi title: Bitcoin price Above/below · frequency: hourly · settlement sources listed by Kalshi: CF Benchmarks.
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Markets by month created
| Month | Markets | Contracts traded | Never traded | Settled | Resolved YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2024 | 300 | 791,149 | 72.0% | 300 | 171 |
| Nov 2024 | 938 | 30,430,289 | 7.1% | 938 | 609 |
| Dec 2024 | 15,680 | 30,413,772 | 80.4% | 15,680 | 7,882 |
| Jan 2025 | 29,190 | 18,520,698 | 79.8% | 29,190 | 15,552 |
| Feb 2025 | 32,455 | 28,177,292 | 83.6% | 32,455 | 15,027 |
| Mar 2025 | 36,155 | 24,326,602 | 86.5% | 36,155 | 17,985 |
| Apr 2025 | 34,990 | 22,270,180 | 87.0% | 34,990 | 18,782 |
| May 2025 | 36,165 | 20,027,648 | 89.1% | 36,165 | 19,359 |
| Jun 2025 | 34,990 | 27,334,877 | 89.1% | 34,990 | 17,656 |
| Jul 2025 | 36,115 | 41,902,579 | 87.6% | 36,115 | 18,878 |
| Aug 2025 | 36,205 | 47,262,082 | 87.5% | 36,205 | 17,837 |
| Sep 2025 | 34,990 | 53,568,953 | 88.6% | 34,990 | 18,314 |
| Oct 2025 | 36,165 | 65,286,787 | 86.0% | 36,165 | 17,881 |
| Nov 2025 | 26,867 | 54,923,471 | 82.6% | 24,862 | 10,472 |
Trades by month
From the dataset’s trades files, matched to this series by market ticker. Contracts = sum of trade count.
| Month | Trades | Contracts |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2024 | 4,030 | 628,641 |
| Nov 2024 | 117,613 | 27,632,472 |
| Dec 2024 | 166,803 | 32,920,099 |
| Jan 2025 | 254,989 | 18,361,280 |
| Feb 2025 | 431,699 | 28,066,158 |
| Mar 2025 | 330,385 | 23,680,857 |
| Apr 2025 | 311,852 | 22,732,230 |
| May 2025 | 242,753 | 20,003,655 |
| Jun 2025 | 277,596 | 26,846,162 |
| Jul 2025 | 372,888 | 40,704,643 |
| Aug 2025 | 424,979 | 48,329,140 |
| Sep 2025 | 486,768 | 52,433,599 |
| Oct 2025 | 596,251 | 66,385,370 |
| Nov 2025 | 532,669 | 56,304,459 |
Highest-volume events
| Event ticker | Markets | Contracts traded |
|---|---|---|
| KXBTCD-24NOV2217 | 50 | 3,151,014 |
| KXBTCD-24DEC0617 | 50 | 2,499,709 |
| KXBTCD-24NOV1517 | 58 | 2,460,906 |
| KXBTCD-24DEC0517 | 40 | 2,073,138 |
| KXBTCD-24NOV2117 | 40 | 2,064,587 |
Why YES shares are often low or near half: ladders and brackets list many mutually exclusive outcomes per event and only one resolves YES, while game markets come in pairs with one winner. The share reflects how markets are structured, not a forecast or a trading rule.
More: all Crypto markets · KXBTC
Build with this data
- BTC hourly arbitrage detector
- Kalshibot for 15-minute Bitcoin markets
- Prediction market analysis framework and dataset
- Kalshi new-market scanner with Telegram alerts
- Kalshi MCP server
Odds to probability calculator · State of Kalshi · All Kalshi data pages · Kalshi bot guide
Method
- Series = the text before the first hyphen of
event_ticker(same rule as State of Kalshi). - Category = the label Kalshi's public API gives that series today (fetched Oct 17, 2026), applied to every market in the series, including older markets. Labels may differ from what Kalshi showed when a market was listed.
- Contracts = the sum of the
volumefield in the markets files. It counts contracts, not dollars. - Never traded = markets with
volumeof zero. Settled = markets whoseresultis yes or no. - Trades = rows in the trades files whose ticker belongs to this series, grouped by trade month.
- Counts only. No prices are used, and nothing here is a forecast, a trading rule or financial advice.
Source
Market data: Becker Kalshi dataset (Jon Becker, prediction-market-analysis), data dump downloaded Jul 30, 2026, covering markets created Jun 30, 2021 to Nov 23, 2025. Category labels: Kalshi public API (GET /trade-api/v2/series). Computed with DuckDB over all markets files. This is a historical snapshot, not live data. Dataset snapshot date: Oct 17, 2026.