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KXMARMAD: Kalshi Men's College Basketball Tournament Champion markets in numbers

In the public Becker Kalshi dataset, the KXMARMAD series (“Men's College Basketball Tournament Champion”, Kalshi category Sports) had 488 markets in 68 events created Jan 22, 2025 to Oct 28, 2025, with 415,470,990 contracts traded; 16.1% of 417 settled markets resolved YES.

Historical snapshot · source: Becker Kalshi dataset and Kalshi public API · page updated · these numbers as JSON

Men's college basketball tournament champion markets: one market per team in the field. Kalshi lists ESPN and NCAA-originated information as settlement sources.

Key numbers

MeasureValue
Markets488
Events68
Contracts traded415,470,990
Markets never traded52 (10.7%)
Settled markets (yes or no)417
Resolved YES67 (16.1% of settled)
Resolved NO350 (83.9% of settled)
First market createdJan 22, 2025
Last market createdOct 28, 2025

Kalshi title: Men's College Basketball Tournament Champion · frequency: custom · settlement sources listed by Kalshi: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA.

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Markets by month created

MonthMarketsContracts tradedNever tradedSettledResolved YES
Jan 20252670,352,2580.0%261
Feb 202521,283,6110.0%20
Mar 2025389340,767,85813.4%38966
Oct 2025713,067,2630.0%00

Trades by month

From the dataset’s trades files, matched to this series by market ticker. Contracts = sum of trade count.

MonthTradesContracts
Jan 2025824300,755
Feb 20254,5531,372,644
Mar 20251,252,377322,861,300
Apr 2025237,46387,868,541
Oct 2025613480,692
Nov 20254,8622,764,279

Highest-volume events

Event tickerMarketsContracts traded
KXMARMAD-256975,380,570
KXMARMAD-25R4G23426,802,345
KXMARMAD-25R4G13421,082,701
KXMARMAD-25R8G21617,474,310
KXMARMAD-25R8G11813,937,147

Why YES shares are often low or near half: ladders and brackets list many mutually exclusive outcomes per event and only one resolves YES, while game markets come in pairs with one winner. The share reflects how markets are structured, not a forecast or a trading rule.

More: all Sports markets · KXNFLGAME · KXNCAAFGAME · KXNBAGAME · KXMLBGAME · KXATPMATCH · KXNHLGAME

Build with this data

Odds to probability calculator · State of Kalshi · All Kalshi data pages · Kalshi bot guide

Method

Source

Market data: Becker Kalshi dataset (Jon Becker, prediction-market-analysis), data dump downloaded Jul 30, 2026, covering markets created Jun 30, 2021 to Nov 23, 2025. Category labels: Kalshi public API (GET /trade-api/v2/series). Computed with DuckDB over all markets files. This is a historical snapshot, not live data. Dataset snapshot date: Oct 17, 2026.