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Forecasting agentsPolymarket

Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment)

FastAPI, PostgreSQL and Redis pipeline where a Claude analyst and an OpenAI challenger each estimate a Polymarket market's probability and a rule-based consensus compares them with the price. It ran as a no-money paper experiment from June to October 2026; the author's write-up (in Russian, self-reported) found no edge over market prices and publishes the data and lessons.

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What it does

FastAPI, PostgreSQL and Redis pipeline where a Claude analyst and an OpenAI challenger each estimate a Polymarket market's probability and a rule-based consensus compares them with the price. It ran as a no-money paper experiment from June to October 2026; the author's write-up (in Russian, self-reported) found no edge over market prices and publishes the data and lessons. See the source for setup, usage and current status.

Tools: PythonFastAPIPostgreSQL+3

Difficulty: advanced

Platforms: Polymarket

FAQ

What is Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment)?

FastAPI, PostgreSQL and Redis pipeline where a Claude analyst and an OpenAI challenger each estimate a Polymarket market's probability and a rule-based consensus compares them with the price. It ran as a no-money paper experiment from June to October 2026; the author's write-up (in Russian, self-reported) found no edge over market prices and publishes the data and lessons. It is listed under Forecasting agents in this directory.

Does Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) work with Kalshi or Polymarket?

According to its source, it works with Polymarket.

What tools or languages does Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) use?

The source lists: Python, FastAPI, PostgreSQL, Redis, Claude, OpenAI.

Who built Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) and where is the source?

It was published by gmlol11. The public source is at github.com/gmlol11/polymarket-ai-desk.

How hard is Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) to set up?

This directory rates it advanced (beginner, intermediate or advanced).

How many GitHub stars does Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) have?

It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 17, 2026.

Is Two-LLM analyst and challenger pipeline for Polymarket (finished paper experiment) still maintained?

The repository was last updated on Oct 16, 2026, as checked on Oct 23, 2026. Check the source for current status.

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