Sponsor this directory: one slot per week. Details
Get the weekly digest
Data & analyticsKalshi

Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions

Turns split-conformal price forecasts on public EIA WTI crude data into probabilities for threshold questions like 'will WTI close above $X by date Y?', with backtests and a dated forward track record. Analysis only; it never touches a Kalshi account.

Last updated · source link verified

What it does

Turns split-conformal price forecasts on public EIA WTI crude data into probabilities for threshold questions like 'will WTI close above $X by date Y?', with backtests and a dated forward track record. Analysis only; it never touches a Kalshi account. See the source for setup, usage and current status.

Tools: PythonPyTorchconformal prediction+1

Difficulty: advanced

Platforms: Kalshi

FAQ

What is Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions?

Turns split-conformal price forecasts on public EIA WTI crude data into probabilities for threshold questions like 'will WTI close above $X by date Y?', with backtests and a dated forward track record. Analysis only; it never touches a Kalshi account. It is listed under Data & analytics in this directory.

Does Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions work with Kalshi or Polymarket?

According to its source, it works with Kalshi.

What tools or languages does Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions use?

The source lists: Python, PyTorch, conformal prediction, EIA data.

Who built Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions and where is the source?

It was published by danielwork12121-lab. The public source is at github.com/danielwork12121-lab/kalshi-commodity-forecaster.

How hard is Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions to set up?

This directory rates it advanced (beginner, intermediate or advanced).

How many GitHub stars does Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions have?

It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 15, 2026.

Is Calibrated commodity forecaster for Kalshi-style threshold questions still maintained?

The repository was last updated on Oct 15, 2026, as checked on Oct 23, 2026. Check the source for current status.

Compare all data & analytics tools → · How to build a Kalshi bot

More data: Prediction market datasets and free Kalshi JSON downloads

Related in Data & analytics

Data & analyticsKalshi

S&P 500 options vs Kalshi contracts: comparing two risk-neutral distributions

Student research notebook (Rennes School of Business graduating project) that compares the probability distribution implied by SPXW and NDX option prices, using a fitted SVI smile, with the distribution quoted by Kalshi's S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 range contracts for the same expiry. Uses Yahoo Finance option data and the Kalshi public API, with a saved snapshot in the repo. Findings are self-reported and based on a single snapshot.

PythonJupyterSVI volatility fit+2

New bots weekly. One email, no spam.

Form not loading? Subscribe on beehiiv. Handled by beehiiv; see privacy. Unsubscribe any time.