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Data & analyticsPolymarket

Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study

Minute-level research pipeline testing whether Polymarket geopolitical and military contracts lead oil futures, defense equities, Treasuries, VIX and gold ETFs, with control markets, closed-hours and reopen-gap designs and a draft paper. Results are self-reported by the author and not independently verified.

Last updated · source link verified

What it does

Minute-level research pipeline testing whether Polymarket geopolitical and military contracts lead oil futures, defense equities, Treasuries, VIX and gold ETFs, with control markets, closed-hours and reopen-gap designs and a draft paper. Results are self-reported by the author and not independently verified. See the source for setup, usage and current status.

Tools: PythonPolymarket dataminute ETF bars

Difficulty: advanced

Platforms: Polymarket

FAQ

What is Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study?

Minute-level research pipeline testing whether Polymarket geopolitical and military contracts lead oil futures, defense equities, Treasuries, VIX and gold ETFs, with control markets, closed-hours and reopen-gap designs and a draft paper. Results are self-reported by the author and not independently verified. It is listed under Data & analytics in this directory.

Does Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study work with Kalshi or Polymarket?

According to its source, it works with Polymarket.

What tools or languages does Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study use?

The source lists: Python, Polymarket data, minute ETF bars.

Who built Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study and where is the source?

It was published by aicgoraya. The public source is at github.com/aicgoraya/pm-leadlag.

How hard is Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study to set up?

This directory rates it advanced (beginner, intermediate or advanced).

How many GitHub stars does Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study have?

It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 21, 2026.

Is Polymarket vs oil, VIX and defense stocks: geopolitical lead-lag study still maintained?

The repository was last updated on Oct 20, 2026, as checked on Oct 23, 2026. Check the source for current status.

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