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Market makingPolymarket

Polymarket market-making research with documented null results

Two closed research projects: simulated (shadow) market making against Polymarket's live order book and recorded tape, and an event study of whether public posts move prices in a capturable way. The repo places no orders and reports its negative results with the tests behind them; findings are the author's own (self-reported). Research logs are in Spanish, code in English.

Last updated · source link verified

What it does

Two closed research projects: simulated (shadow) market making against Polymarket's live order book and recorded tape, and an event study of whether public posts move prices in a capturable way. The repo places no orders and reports its negative results with the tests behind them; findings are the author's own (self-reported). Research logs are in Spanish, code in English. See the source for setup, usage and current status.

Tools: PythonPolymarket CLOB APIstatistical testing

Difficulty: advanced

Platforms: Polymarket

FAQ

What is Polymarket market-making research with documented null results?

Two closed research projects: simulated (shadow) market making against Polymarket's live order book and recorded tape, and an event study of whether public posts move prices in a capturable way. The repo places no orders and reports its negative results with the tests behind them; findings are the author's own (self-reported). Research logs are in Spanish, code in English. It is listed under Market making in this directory.

Does Polymarket market-making research with documented null results work with Kalshi or Polymarket?

According to its source, it works with Polymarket.

What tools or languages does Polymarket market-making research with documented null results use?

The source lists: Python, Polymarket CLOB API, statistical testing.

Who built Polymarket market-making research with documented null results and where is the source?

It was published by martinjmz97. The public source is at github.com/martinjmz97/prediction-markets-research.

How hard is Polymarket market-making research with documented null results to set up?

This directory rates it advanced (beginner, intermediate or advanced).

How many GitHub stars does Polymarket market-making research with documented null results have?

It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 20, 2026.

Is Polymarket market-making research with documented null results still maintained?

The repository was last updated on Oct 19, 2026, as checked on Oct 23, 2026. Check the source for current status.

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