Open research repo with a short paper comparing Kalshi and Polymarket Fed-decision markets with S&P 500 futures, USD/JPY and Treasury bills around CPI and payrolls releases (2023 to 2026). Measures whether both venues resolved correctly, how closely they agree, and how fast each absorbs macro news. Findings are self-reported by the author.
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Open research repo with a short paper comparing Kalshi and Polymarket Fed-decision markets with S&P 500 futures, USD/JPY and Treasury bills around CPI and payrolls releases (2023 to 2026). Measures whether both venues resolved correctly, how closely they agree, and how fast each absorbs macro news. Findings are self-reported by the author. See the source for setup, usage and current status.
Tools: PythonKalshi APIPolymarket data+1
Difficulty: advanced
Platforms: Kalshi · Polymarket
Open research repo with a short paper comparing Kalshi and Polymarket Fed-decision markets with S&P 500 futures, USD/JPY and Treasury bills around CPI and payrolls releases (2023 to 2026). Measures whether both venues resolved correctly, how closely they agree, and how fast each absorbs macro news. Findings are self-reported by the author. It is listed under Data & analytics in this directory.
According to its source, it works with Kalshi and Polymarket.
The source lists: Python, Kalshi API, Polymarket data, futures and FX tick data.
It was published by unaifmm. The public source is at github.com/unaifmm/prediction-markets-fed.
This directory rates it advanced (beginner, intermediate or advanced).
It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 21, 2026.
The repository was last updated on Oct 21, 2026, as checked on Oct 23, 2026. Check the source for current status.
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