Open-source app that compares Polymarket's price on daily stock questions (close above a level, up or down) with the probability implied by the options market, computed from implied volatility, and scores both with Brier scores on resolved markets. Includes a hosted site and an MCP server endpoint. Options data comes from the Unusual Whales API. Results and any trading returns are self-reported and not verified here.
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Two Crowds: Polymarket odds vs options-implied probabilities is an intermediate-level data & analytics project for Polymarket, published by codebyjaini and built with Python, Polymarket public API, Unusual Whales API, MCP server and Render. Its source dates from Oct 24, 2026 and was last updated Oct 24, 2026. Data and analytics projects collect, store and visualize prediction-market data: historical prices, order books, trades and resolutions.
Open-source app that compares Polymarket's price on daily stock questions (close above a level, up or down) with the probability implied by the options market, computed from implied volatility, and scores both with Brier scores on resolved markets. Includes a hosted site and an MCP server endpoint. Options data comes from the Unusual Whales API. Results and any trading returns are self-reported and not verified here. See the source for setup, usage and current status.
Tools: PythonPolymarket public APIUnusual Whales API+2
Difficulty: intermediate
Platforms: Polymarket
Open-source app that compares Polymarket's price on daily stock questions (close above a level, up or down) with the probability implied by the options market, computed from implied volatility, and scores both with Brier scores on resolved markets. Includes a hosted site and an MCP server endpoint. Options data comes from the Unusual Whales API. Results and any trading returns are self-reported and not verified here. It is listed under Data & analytics in this directory.
According to its source, it works with Polymarket.
The source lists: Python, Polymarket public API, Unusual Whales API, MCP server, Render.
It was published by codebyjaini. The public source is at github.com/codebyjaini/two-crowds.
This directory rates it intermediate (beginner, intermediate or advanced).
It had 0 GitHub stars as of Oct 24, 2026.
The repository was last updated on Oct 24, 2026, as checked on Oct 24, 2026. Check the source for current status.
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